‎Naira strengthens further as FX liquidity improves

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Naira strengthens further as FX liquidity improves

‎Story from Martha Gwary

‎The Naira strengthened notably on Tuesday, October 7, 2025, with exchange rates in both the official and parallel markets settling into the mid-₦1,400s range.

‎This convergence was driven by improved foreign exchange (FX) liquidity and sustained Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) interventions, which have boosted market confidence.

‎Official and Parallel Rates Converge

‎At the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM), the Naira traded at approximately ₦1,464–₦1,466 per US dollar, based on volume-weighted official figures. Other end-of-day data placed the official rate at ₦1,465.20 per US$1, while other CBN bulletins and media reports cited a closing level of around ₦1,470.26.

‎In the parallel market, monitored by platforms like AbokiFX and local trackers, the exchange rate hovered between ₦1,470 and ₦1,480 per US$1. Despite this recent strengthening, a premium remains between the official and unofficial market rates, which points to continued segmentation within the FX market.

‎Factors Driving the Gains

‎Market participants credit Naira’s recent appreciation to increased FX inflows and a higher dollar supply in the NFEM. This has occurred alongside the CBN’s ongoing use of its matching platform and targeted liquidity operations.

‎Global factors, including the strength of the US dollar and fluctuating investor sentiment, have also influenced FX flows into the Nigerian market.

‎What Analysts Are Watching

‎Traders are closely monitoring the CBN’s daily FX releases and open market operations for signals of sustained supply.

‎Analysts emphasise that tracking the parallel market premium will be crucial in determining whether improvements in the official market are effectively reaching retail and bureau de change (BDC) channels.

‎Additionally, the performance of global oil markets and the resulting inflows from crude exports will remain pivotal in shaping the Naira’s trajectory over the coming weeks.

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